Alianza Valledupar v Águilas Doradas Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlianza Valledupar to win ✗42% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79

Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Alianza Valledupar v Águilas Doradas in the Primera A, played at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau. In the table, Alianza Valledupar are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Águilas Doradas are 10th (upper half) with 25.

Current form

Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportivo Cali, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Águilas Doradas, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jaguares, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Alianza Valledupar, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Águilas Doradas.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Águilas Doradas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Valledupar 1.3 xG, Águilas Doradas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Valledupar 42%, draw 24%, Águilas Doradas 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Águilas Doradas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Valledupar42%fair 2.37 · @2.45

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00

Águilas Doradas34%fair 2.98 · @2.88

2.46Expected goals

1.32Alianza Valledupar xG

1.14Águilas Doradas xG

51%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.3 – 1.1 Águilas Doradas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Alianza Valledupar to win ✗	42%	2.37	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.96	1.83
Draw no bet	Alianza Valledupar (draw no bet)	56%	1.80	–
Asian handicap	Águilas Doradas +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.80	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	77%	1.31	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.12	–
First team to score	Alianza Valledupar to score first ✗	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Alianza Valledupar / FT Alianza Valledupar ✗	24%	4.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.79	–

Alianza Valledupar – last 6

LWLWWL

3 Oct	@ Deportivo Cali	1–3	L
27 Sep	@ Jaguares	2–1	W
19 Sep	vs Santa Fe	1–4	L
16 Sep	@ Chico	2–1	W
13 Sep	vs Junior	1–0	W
10 Sep	@ Once Caldas	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Águilas Doradas – last 6

WLLDLD

3 Oct	vs Jaguares	2–0	W
28 Sep	@ Deportivo Cali	0–2	L
24 Sep	@ America de Cali	0–1	L
18 Sep	vs Deportivo Pereira	2–2	D
13 Sep	@ Atletico Nacional	0–2	L
6 Sep	@ Internacional de Bogota	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	-17	10

Team

Pts

+20

+10

+10

Internacional de Bogota

Deportivo Cali

Millonarios

Independiente Medellin

-5

-3

-5

-13

-14

-17

-13

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?

On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Águilas Doradas 34%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?

Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Águilas Doradas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas?

Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Alianza Valledupar v Águilas Doradas: numbers & prediction