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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Once Caldas v Llaneros: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Palogrande
1–0
FT
Once Caldas 65%Draw 24%Llaneros 11% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.63
65%
Betarazi pick

Once Caldas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultOnce Caldas to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceOnce Caldas or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Once Caldas vs Llaneros: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Once Caldas welcome Llaneros to Estadio Palogrande for a Primera A fixture on Saturday 10 October (02:10 WAT). In the table, Once Caldas are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Llaneros are 12th (lower half) with 23.

Current form

Once Caldas, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Internacional de Bogota, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Llaneros, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to America de Cali, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Once Caldas, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Llaneros.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Mar 2026) it ended Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Once Caldas 1.8 xG, Llaneros 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Once Caldas 65%, draw 24%, Llaneros 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Once Caldas to win (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Once Caldas 1–0 Llaneros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Once Caldas65%fair 1.54 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.80
Llaneros11%fair 9.11 · @5.80
2.45Expected goals
1.82Once Caldas xG
0.63Llaneros xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.8 – 0.6 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOnce Caldas to win ✓65%1.541.53
Double chanceOnce Caldas or draw ✓89%1.121.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.981.91
Draw no betOnce Caldas (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapOnce Caldas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreOnce Caldas to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultOnce Caldas ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

Once Caldas – last 6

DLLWLW
4 Oct@ Internacional de Bogota1–1D
26 Sepvs Bucaramanga1–3L
20 Sep@ Deportivo Pasto0–1L
17 Sepvs Deportes Tolima1–0W
14 Sepvs Deportivo Cali1–2L
10 Sepvs Alianza Valledupar1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Llaneros – last 6

LLWLLD
5 Octvs America de Cali1–2L
27 Sep@ Cucuta1–2L
21 Sepvs Atletico Nacional2–0W
12 Sep@ Internacional de Bogota2–3L
8 Sepvs Deportes Tolima1–2L
2 Sep@ Quindio1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Mar 2026Llaneros v Once Caldas1–1
Once Caldas vs Llaneros head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Llaneros?

Our pick is Once Caldas to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Once Caldas vs Llaneros?

On our numbers Once Caldas have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Llaneros 11%.

How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Llaneros?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Llaneros?

Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–0 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Once Caldas vs Llaneros?

Once Caldas vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.