Value bet: Cucuta to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChico to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Chico vs Cucuta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cucuta travel to face Chico on Monday 12 October in the Primera A, with Estadio La Independencia the venue – the ball rolls at 00:10 WAT. In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Cucuta are 11th (lower half) with 24.
Current form
Chico, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportes Tolima, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cucuta, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Deportivo Pereira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chico, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Cucuta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chico 1.4 xG, Cucuta 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 40%, draw 25%, Cucuta 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Cucuta to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 1–1 Cucuta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chico40%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Cucuta35%fair 2.87 · @3.20
2.72Expected goals
1.42Chico xG
1.30Cucuta xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Chico 1.4 – 1.3 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chico to win✗
40%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.91
Draw no bet
Chico (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Cucuta +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Chico to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chico / FT Chico✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Chico – last 6
DWLLWW
3 Oct
@ Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Deportivo Pasto
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Once Caldas
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cucuta – last 6
WWLLDL
4 Oct
vs Deportivo Pereira
4–0
W
27 Sep
vs Llaneros
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Deportivo Cali
0–3
L
14 Sep
vs Millonarios
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Deportivo Pasto
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Cucuta.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Chico vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Chico have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cucuta 35%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Cucuta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Chico 1–1 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Cucuta?
Chico vs Cucuta (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
