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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bucaramanga v Atletico Nacional: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Américo Montanini
1–1
FT
Bucaramanga 33%Draw 23%Atletico Nacional 44% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.44
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27

Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 3 November the Primera A brings Bucaramanga against Atletico Nacional at Estadio Américo Montanini. Kick-off: 02:15 WAT. In the table, Bucaramanga are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 18 matches; Atletico Nacional are 1st (leading the league) with 39.

Current form

Bucaramanga, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Pasto, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Atletico Nacional, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Santa Fe, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Bucaramanga.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Atletico Nacional 2–0 Bucaramanga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bucaramanga 1.2 xG, Atletico Nacional 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bucaramanga 33%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bucaramanga 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bucaramanga33%fair 3.03 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Atletico Nacional44%fair 2.27 · @2.25
2.64Expected goals
1.20Bucaramanga xG
1.44Atletico Nacional xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Bucaramanga 1.2 – 1.4 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Nacional to win ✗44%2.272.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.67
Draw no betAtletico Nacional (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapBucaramanga +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreAtletico Nacional to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional ✗25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.27–

Recent results

Bucaramanga – last 6

WLLDDW
31 Octvs Deportivo Pasto2–1W
27 Oct@ Santa Fe1–2L
24 Oct@ Chico0–1L
18 Octvs America de Cali1–1D
14 Octvs Águilas Doradas1–1D
5 Octvs Junior3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atletico Nacional – last 6

WWWLWW
30 Octvs Santa Fe2–0W
26 Octvs Independiente Medellin2–1W
23 Octvs Deportivo Pasto3–0W
21 Oct@ Cucuta0–1L
17 Oct@ Chico4–1W
15 Octvs Independiente Medellin3–2W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Atletico Nacional v Bucaramanga2–0
Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

On our numbers Bucaramanga have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Nacional 44%.

How many goals will there be in Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

Our predicted score is Bucaramanga 1–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Américo Montanini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.