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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Pereira v Deportes Tolima: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Santiago de las Atalayas
Deportivo Pereira 19%Draw 20%Deportes Tolima 62% Expected goals 0.75 – 1.69
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✓62% · @1.55
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.71

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 3 November the Primera A brings Deportivo Pereira against Deportes Tolima at Santiago de las Atalayas. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Pereira are 17th, lower half, on 17 points after 18 matches; Deportes Tolima are 9th (upper half) with 26.

Current form

Deportivo Pereira, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jaguares, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Deportes Tolima, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Pasto, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Pereira, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Deportes Tolima.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Deportes Tolima 2–0 Deportivo Pereira.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pereira 0.8 xG, Deportes Tolima 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pereira 19%, draw 20%, Deportes Tolima 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Pereira19%fair 5.38 · @6.50
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @3.75
Deportes Tolima62%fair 1.62 · @1.55
2.44Expected goals
0.75Deportivo Pereira xG
1.69Deportes Tolima xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%

From our goals model: Deportivo Pereira 0.8 – 1.7 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportes Tolima to win ✓62%1.621.55
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✓81%1.231.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.822.00 ▲
Draw no betDeportes Tolima (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapDeportivo Pereira +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.11
First team to scoreDeportes Tolima to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima ✓37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.71–

Recent results

Deportivo Pereira – last 6

WDWDDL
30 Octvs Jaguares1–0W
25 Oct@ Once Caldas1–1D
20 Octvs Chico2–0W
14 Oct@ Junior1–1D
10 Octvs Deportivo Cali0–0D
4 Oct@ Cucuta0–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Deportes Tolima – last 6

LLLDDD
26 Octvs Deportivo Pasto0–1L
18 Oct@ Águilas Doradas1–2L
11 Oct@ Jaguares2–3L
9 Oct@ Atletico Nacional0–0D
3 Octvs Chico0–0D
28 Sep@ Fortaleza FC2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pereira2–0
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

On our numbers Deportivo Pereira have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportes Tolima 62%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Santiago de las Atalayas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.