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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza Valledupar v Llaneros: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Valledupar

LLWWD
1–2
FT

Llaneros

WLLWL
Alianza Valledupar 46%Draw 25%Llaneros 30% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.00
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlianza Valledupar to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:15 WAT, Monday 9 November: Alianza Valledupar v Llaneros in the Primera A, played at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau. In the table, Alianza Valledupar are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Llaneros are 12th (lower half) with 23.

Current form

Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Independiente Medellin, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Llaneros, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Junior, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Llaneros 0–0 Alianza Valledupar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Valledupar 1.3 xG, Llaneros 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Valledupar 46%, draw 25%, Llaneros 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Llaneros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Valledupar46%fair 2.18 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Llaneros30%fair 3.39 · @3.40
2.34Expected goals
1.34Alianza Valledupar xG
1.00Llaneros xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.3 – 1.0 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlianza Valledupar to win ✗46%2.182.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.83
Draw no betAlianza Valledupar (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapLlaneros +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.07
First team to scoreAlianza Valledupar to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alianza Valledupar / FT Alianza Valledupar ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Alianza Valledupar – last 6

LLWWDL
2 Nov@ Independiente Medellin1–2L
29 Oct@ Once Caldas0–1L
25 Octvs Internacional de Bogota1–0W
20 Oct@ Deportivo Pasto1–0W
10 Octvs Águilas Doradas2–2D
3 Oct@ Deportivo Cali1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Llaneros – last 6

WLLWLL
1 Novvs Junior3–2W
27 Oct@ Jaguares0–1L
22 Octvs Deportivo Cali0–3L
19 Octvs Santa Fe1–0W
16 Oct@ Internacional de Bogota1–4L
10 Oct@ Once Caldas0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Apr 2026Llaneros v Alianza Valledupar0–0
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

League hub
FT Deportes Tolima2 Millonarios1 140%2.22X23%3.20237%3.25 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.27 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Llaneros 30%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.