Value bet: Millonarios to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✓40% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.30
Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportes Tolima welcome Millonarios to Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro for a Primera A fixture on Monday 9 November (00:10 WAT). In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Millonarios are 7th (upper half) with 27. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportes Tolima, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Deportivo Pereira, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Millonarios, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with America de Cali, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Millonarios 2–0 Deportes Tolima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.3 xG, Millonarios 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 40%, draw 23%, Millonarios 37%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.82.
Price worth noting: Millonarios to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 1–1 Millonarios. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima40%fair 2.51 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Millonarios37%fair 2.69 · @3.25
2.46Expected goals
1.26Deportes Tolima xG
1.20Millonarios xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.3 – 1.2 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Millonarios 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?
Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
