Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Atalanta to win @ 1.87 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✓59% · @1.87
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Atalanta vs Bologna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 31 August the Serie A brings Atalanta against Bologna at New Balance Arena. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Atalanta are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Bologna are 8th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atalanta, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hapoel Tel Aviv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Bologna, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lazio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atalanta, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Bologna.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Atalanta 0–1 Bologna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atalanta 1.6 xG, Bologna 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atalanta 59%, draw 22%, Bologna 20%.
Lower-risk option: Atalanta or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Atalanta to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atalanta or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atalanta 1–0 Bologna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atalanta59%fair 1.70 · @1.87
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.55
Bologna20%fair 5.11 · @3.90
2.32Expected goals
1.57Atalanta xG
0.75Bologna xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atalanta 1.6 – 0.8 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Atalanta or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atalanta vs Bologna?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bologna 20%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Bologna?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Bologna?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 1–0 Bologna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Bologna?
Atalanta vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
