Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAS Roma to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceAS Roma or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Lecce vs AS Roma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Monday 31 August: Lecce v AS Roma in the Serie A, played at Via del Mare. In the table, Lecce are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; AS Roma are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lecce, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Venezia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
AS Roma, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Fiorentina, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lecce 0.8 xG, AS Roma 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lecce 11%, draw 23%, AS Roma 65%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecce 0–2 AS Roma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lecce11%fair 8.80 · @7.90
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.00
AS Roma65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
2.78Expected goals
0.76Lecce xG
2.03AS Roma xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–113%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–36%
From our goals model: Lecce 0.8 – 2.0 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
AS Roma or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
AS Roma (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
AS Roma -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
AS Roma to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Lecce – last 6
WLWDLW
23 Aug
@ Venezia
2–0
W
17 Aug
@ Palermo
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs SS Monopoli
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Istra 1961
2–2
D
22 Jul
vs FC Politehnica Timisoara
0–1
L
24 May
vs Genoa
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
WDLWLD
24 Aug
vs Fiorentina
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Borussia Dortmund
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Brighton
0–3
L
4 Aug
@ Newport County
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Cardiff
1–4
L
26 Jul
@ Cannes
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecce and AS Roma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Lecce vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Lecce have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AS Roma 65%.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Lecce 0–2 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lecce vs AS Roma?
Lecce vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Via del Mare.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
