Fiorentina vs Frosinone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Serie A brings Fiorentina against Frosinone at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Fiorentina are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Frosinone are 6th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Fiorentina, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to AS Roma, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Frosinone, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina 1.9 xG, Frosinone 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina 65%, draw 20%, Frosinone 15%.
Lower-risk option: Fiorentina or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina 2–0 Frosinone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorentina65%fair 1.54 · @1.63
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.90
Frosinone15%fair 6.66 · @5.00
2.64Expected goals
1.89Fiorentina xG
0.76Frosinone xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.9 – 0.8 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina to win✗
65%
1.54
1.63 ▲
Double chance
Fiorentina or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Draw no bet
Fiorentina (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Fiorentina -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.13
First team to score
Fiorentina to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Fiorentina ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Fiorentina – last 6
LWDDWL
24 Aug
@ AS Roma
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Benevento
4–1
W
6 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Real Madrid
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ Watford
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ QPR
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
LWLDDW
23 Aug
vs Juventus
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Benevento
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Sambenedettese
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Frosinone.
What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Frosinone 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 2–0 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Fiorentina vs Frosinone (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
