Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJuventus to win ✓73% · @1.23
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.46
Juventus vs Parma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Juventus v Parma in the Serie A, played at Allianz Stadium. In the table, Juventus are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Parma are 16th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Juventus, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Frosinone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Parma, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cagliari, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Juventus, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Parma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventus 1.6 xG, Parma 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 55% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventus 73%, draw 16%, Parma 11%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventus 1–0 Parma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventus73%fair 1.37 · @1.23
Draw16%fair 6.33 · @6.00
Parma11%fair 9.11 · @11.00
1.99Expected goals
1.64Juventus xG
0.35Parma xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
2–018%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Juventus 1.6 – 0.4 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✓
73%
1.37
1.23
Double chance
Juventus or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.57
Draw no bet
Juventus (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Juventus -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.45 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.18
First team to score
Juventus to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.46
–
Recent results
Juventus – last 6
WWLWWW
23 Aug
@ Frosinone
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Palermo
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Inter
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ Chelsea
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nice
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Standard Liege
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Parma – last 6
LWLDDW
22 Aug
vs Cagliari
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Catania
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Sampdoria
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–1
D
24 May
vs Sassuolo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and Parma.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Juventus vs Parma?
On our numbers Juventus have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Parma 11%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Parma?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Juventus 1–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Juventus vs Parma?
Juventus vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
