Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Fiorentina to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFiorentina to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceFiorentina or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Fiorentina vs Torino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Torino travel to face Fiorentina on Saturday 5 September in the Serie A, with Stadio Artemio Franchi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Fiorentina are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Torino are 11th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Fiorentina, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Frosinone, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Torino, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Monza, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina 2.1 xG, Torino 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina 57%, draw 23%, Torino 20%.
Lower-risk option: Fiorentina or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Fiorentina to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fiorentina or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina 2–1 Torino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorentina57%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Torino20%fair 4.89 · @3.75
3.25Expected goals
2.06Fiorentina xG
1.19Torino xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 2.1 – 1.2 Torino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina to win✗
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Fiorentina or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.85
Draw no bet
Fiorentina (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Torino +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Fiorentina to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Fiorentina ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Fiorentina – last 6
LLWDDW
29 Aug
vs Frosinone
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ AS Roma
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Benevento
4–1
W
6 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Real Madrid
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ Watford
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Torino – last 6
LLLWDW
1 Sep
vs Monza
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs AC Milan
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Avellino
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Burnley
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Torino.
Our pick is Fiorentina or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Torino?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torino 20%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Torino?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Torino?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 2–1 Torino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Torino?
Fiorentina vs Torino (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
