Value bet: Udinese to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUdinese to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.97
Udinese vs Lazio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 7 September the Serie A brings Udinese against Lazio at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Udinese are 20th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 11 matches; Lazio are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Udinese, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Venezia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lazio, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Genoa, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Lazio 3–3 Udinese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Udinese 1.2 xG, Lazio 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Udinese 39%, draw 24%, Lazio 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Udinese to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Udinese 1–1 Lazio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Udinese39%fair 2.53 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Lazio36%fair 2.75 · @2.50
2.25Expected goals
1.16Udinese xG
1.09Lazio xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Udinese 1.2 – 1.1 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Udinese vs Lazio?
On our numbers Udinese have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lazio 36%.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Lazio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Udinese 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Udinese vs Lazio?
Udinese vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
