Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✗63% · @1.60
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.07
Atalanta vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Atalanta v Cagliari in the Serie A, played at New Balance Arena. In the table, Atalanta are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atalanta, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AS Roma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cagliari, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lecce, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atalanta 1.3 xG, Cagliari 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atalanta 63%, draw 24%, Cagliari 13%.
Lower-risk option: Atalanta or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atalanta to win (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atalanta 1–0 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atalanta63%fair 1.58 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.80
Cagliari13%fair 7.89 · @5.00
1.67Expected goals
1.31Atalanta xG
0.36Cagliari xG
43%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–019%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atalanta 1.3 – 0.4 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Atalanta to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Atalanta vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cagliari 13%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Cagliari?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 1–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Cagliari?
Atalanta vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
