Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Frosinone to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGenoa to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Genoa vs Frosinone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Frosinone travel to face Genoa on Saturday 12 September in the Serie A, with Luigi Ferraris the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Genoa are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Frosinone are 6th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Genoa, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Como, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Frosinone, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Venezia, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Frosinone, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Genoa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genoa 1.4 xG, Frosinone 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genoa 39%, draw 23%, Frosinone 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Frosinone to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genoa 1–1 Frosinone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genoa39%fair 2.56 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Frosinone38%fair 2.63 · @3.40
2.83Expected goals
1.43Genoa xG
1.40Frosinone xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Genoa 1.4 – 1.4 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genoa to win✗
39%
2.56
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Genoa (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Frosinone +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Genoa to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genoa / FT Genoa✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Genoa – last 6
LLLWLL
4 Sep
vs Como
1–4
L
30 Aug
@ Lazio
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Napoli
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Ascoli
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
4 Aug
@ Bournemouth
1–10
L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
WDWLWL
6 Sep
vs Venezia
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Juventus
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genoa and Frosinone.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Genoa vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Genoa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Frosinone 38%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Frosinone?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Genoa 1–1 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs Frosinone?
Genoa vs Frosinone (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
