Napoli 57%Draw 23%Bologna 20%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.93
80%
Betarazi pick
Napoli or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNapoli to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Napoli vs Bologna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Serie A brings Napoli against Bologna at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Napoli are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Bologna are 8th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Napoli, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arsenal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Bologna, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sassuolo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Napoli, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Bologna.
Head to head
When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Napoli 2–3 Bologna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 1.7 xG, Bologna 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 57%, draw 23%, Bologna 20%.
Lower-risk option: Napoli or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Napoli or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 1–0 Bologna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Bologna20%fair 4.88 · @4.40
2.67Expected goals
1.74Napoli xG
0.93Bologna xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.7 – 0.9 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Napoli or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Napoli vs Bologna?
On our numbers Napoli have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bologna 20%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Bologna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Bologna?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–0 Bologna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Bologna?
Napoli vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
