Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bologna to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBologna to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceBologna or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.86
Bologna vs Torino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Bologna v Torino in the Serie A, played at Renato Dall'Ara. In the table, Bologna are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Torino are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bologna, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Napoli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Torino, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AS Roma, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Torino, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Bologna.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Torino 1–2 Bologna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bologna 1.6 xG, Torino 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bologna 62%, draw 24%, Torino 15%.
Lower-risk option: Bologna or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Bologna to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bologna or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bologna 1–0 Torino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bologna62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.30
Torino15%fair 6.79 · @3.80
2.25Expected goals
1.62Bologna xG
0.63Torino xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bologna 1.6 – 0.6 Torino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Bologna or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bologna vs Torino?
On our numbers Bologna have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Torino 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bologna vs Torino?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Torino?
Our predicted score is Bologna 1–0 Torino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bologna vs Torino?
Bologna vs Torino (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Renato Dall'Ara.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
