Venezia 17%Draw 21%Lazio 62%Expected goals 0.97 – 2.03
83%
Betarazi pick
Lazio or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Lazio to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceLazio or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Venezia vs Lazio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Venezia v Lazio in the Serie A, played at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. In the table, Venezia are 19th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Lazio are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Venezia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Fiorentina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Lazio, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AC Milan, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Venezia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Venezia 1.0 xG, Lazio 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Venezia 17%, draw 21%, Lazio 62%.
Lower-risk option: Lazio or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Lazio to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lazio or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Venezia 0–2 Lazio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Venezia17%fair 5.84 · @3.75
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Lazio62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
3.00Expected goals
0.97Venezia xG
2.03Lazio xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Venezia 1.0 – 2.0 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Lazio or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Lazio -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Lazio to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Venezia – last 6
LLLLLW
11 Sep
vs Fiorentina
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Frosinone
2–3
L
2 Sep
@ Udinese
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ AC Milan
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Lecce
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Modena
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lazio – last 6
DWWWLW
12 Sep
vs AC Milan
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Udinese
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Genoa
1–0
W
24 Aug
@ Bologna
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Mantova
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ Frosinone
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Lazio.
Our pick is Lazio or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Venezia vs Lazio?
On our numbers Venezia have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lazio 62%.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Lazio?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Venezia 0–2 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Venezia vs Lazio?
Venezia vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
