14:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Parma v Genoa in the Serie A, played at Stadio Ennio Tardini. In the table, Parma are 16th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Genoa are 13th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Parma, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Como, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Genoa, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sudtirol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Genoa, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Parma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 1.1 xG, Genoa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 35%, draw 25%, Genoa 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 1–1 Genoa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma35%fair 2.84 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.90
Genoa40%fair 2.50 · @2.45
2.25Expected goals
1.08Parma xG
1.17Genoa xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Parma 1.1 – 1.2 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genoa to win✗
40%
2.50
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Genoa (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Parma +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Genoa to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genoa / FT Genoa✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.81
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
LDLLLW
14 Sep
@ Como
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Monza
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Cremonese
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Juventus
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Cagliari
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Catania
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Genoa – last 6
WDLLLW
15 Sep
vs Sudtirol
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Frosinone
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Como
1–4
L
30 Aug
@ Lazio
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Napoli
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Ascoli
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Genoa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Parma vs Genoa?
On our numbers Parma have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Genoa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–1 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Genoa?
Parma vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
