Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceLazio or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 15.04
Lazio vs Monza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Serie A brings Lazio against Monza at Stadio Olimpico. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Lazio are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Monza are 18th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lazio, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Juve Stabia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Monza, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Stade Brestois 29, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Monza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lazio 2.1 xG, Monza 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lazio 62%, draw 19%, Monza 19%.
Lower-risk option: Lazio or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lazio to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lazio 2–1 Monza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lazio62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.75
Monza19%fair 5.33 · @5.00
3.10Expected goals
2.07Lazio xG
1.03Monza xG
49%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lazio 2.1 – 1.0 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
Lazio or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Lazio -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Lazio to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
15.04
–
Recent results
Lazio – last 6
DWDWWW
3 Oct
vs Juve Stabia
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Venezia
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs AC Milan
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Udinese
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Genoa
1–0
W
24 Aug
@ Bologna
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monza – last 6
DWLDWL
3 Oct
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Lecce
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Parma
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Torino
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Udinese
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Monza.
Our pick is Lazio to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Lazio vs Monza?
On our numbers Lazio have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Monza 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Monza?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Lazio 2–1 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Monza?
Lazio vs Monza (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
