AS Roma 67%Draw 20%Genoa 13%Expected goals 2.01 – 0.74
67%
Betarazi pick
AS Roma to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultAS Roma to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceAS Roma or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.59
AS Roma vs Genoa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 17 October: AS Roma v Genoa in the Serie A, played at Stadio Olimpico. In the table, AS Roma are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 11 matches; Genoa are 13th (lower half) with 13. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AS Roma, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Real Madrid, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Genoa, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fiorentina, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Genoa 2–1 AS Roma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Roma 2.0 xG, Genoa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Roma 67%, draw 20%, Genoa 13%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AS Roma to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Roma 2–0 Genoa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Roma67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.00
Genoa13%fair 7.87 · @5.80
2.75Expected goals
2.01AS Roma xG
0.74Genoa xG
45%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–110%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: AS Roma 2.0 – 0.7 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AS Roma to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa?
On our numbers AS Roma have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Genoa 13%.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is AS Roma 2–0 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AS Roma vs Genoa?
AS Roma vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
