Venezia 12%Draw 22%Napoli 65%Expected goals 0.89 – 2.19
65%
Betarazi pick
Napoli to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultNapoli to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✗88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Venezia vs Napoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Serie A brings Venezia against Napoli at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Venezia are 19th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Napoli are 10th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Venezia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atalanta, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Napoli, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Villarreal, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Napoli, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Venezia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Venezia 0.9 xG, Napoli 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Venezia 12%, draw 22%, Napoli 65%.
Lower-risk option: Napoli or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Napoli to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Venezia 0–2 Napoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Venezia12%fair 8.24 · @4.40
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
Napoli65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
3.08Expected goals
0.89Venezia xG
2.19Napoli xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Venezia 0.9 – 2.2 Napoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✗
65%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Napoli or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Napoli (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Napoli -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Napoli to score first✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Venezia – last 6
LLLLLL
12 Oct
@ Atalanta
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lazio
0–2
L
11 Sep
vs Fiorentina
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Frosinone
2–3
L
2 Sep
@ Udinese
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ AC Milan
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Napoli – last 6
LWDWLL
13 Oct
@ Villarreal
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs Frosinone
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Bologna
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Inter
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Napoli.
Our pick is Napoli to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Venezia vs Napoli?
On our numbers Venezia have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Napoli 65%.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Napoli?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Napoli?
Our predicted score is Venezia 0–2 Napoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Venezia vs Napoli?
Venezia vs Napoli (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
