Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultComo to win ✓50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Fiorentina vs Como: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Como travel to face Fiorentina on Sunday 18 October in the Serie A, with Stadio Artemio Franchi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Fiorentina are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Como are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fiorentina, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Genoa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Como, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Feyenoord, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Como, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Fiorentina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina 1.3 xG, Como 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina 29%, draw 21%, Como 50%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina 1–1 Como. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorentina29%fair 3.43 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
Como50%fair 2.02 · @2.05
3.00Expected goals
1.27Fiorentina xG
1.73Como xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.3 – 1.7 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✓
50%
2.02
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
Como (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Fiorentina +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Como to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✓
29%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Fiorentina – last 6
LDWWLL
10 Oct
@ Genoa
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Napoli
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Pisa
3–0
W
11 Sep
@ Venezia
4–2
W
5 Sep
vs Torino
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Frosinone
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Como – last 6
LDLWWW
14 Oct
@ Feyenoord
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs AS Roma
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Frosinone
0–2
L
14 Sep
vs Parma
2–1
W
10 Sep
vs RB Leipzig
4–1
W
4 Sep
@ Genoa
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Como.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Como 50%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Como?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Como?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 1–1 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Como?
Fiorentina vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
