Juventus v Lazio Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultJuventus to win ✗66% · @1.62

Double chanceJuventus or draw ✗87% · @1.15

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.91

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30

Juventus vs Lazio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lazio travel to face Juventus on Sunday 18 October in the Serie A, with Allianz Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Juventus are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Lazio are 1st (leading the league) with 29.

Current form

Juventus, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Celta Vigo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Lazio, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Monza, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Juventus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventus 1.8 xG, Lazio 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Juventus 66%, draw 21%, Lazio 13%.
Lower-risk option: Juventus or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Juventus to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventus 1–0 Lazio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventus66%fair 1.52 · @1.62

Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.70

Lazio13%fair 7.56 · @5.00

2.42Expected goals

1.79Juventus xG

0.63Lazio xG

48%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

2–014%

1–110%

2–19%

0–09%

3–08%

From our goals model: Juventus 1.8 – 0.6 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Juventus to win ✗	66%	1.52	1.62 ▲
Double chance	Juventus or draw ✗	87%	1.15	1.15
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	52%	1.91	1.91
Draw no bet	Juventus (draw no bet) ✗	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Juventus -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.44	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.77	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Juventus to score first ✗	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Juventus ahead at half-time ✗	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Juventus / FT Juventus ✗	41%	2.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.30	–

Juventus – last 6

WDLWWL

15 Oct	@ Celta Vigo	2–1	W
11 Oct	@ Cagliari	1–1	D
2 Oct	vs Cremonese	0–1	L
20 Sep	vs Atalanta	2–0	W
17 Sep	vs NEC Nijmegen	5–0	W
13 Sep	@ Sassuolo	2–3	L

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Lazio – last 6

WDWDWW

11 Oct	vs Monza	3–1	W
3 Oct	vs Juve Stabia	3–3	D
19 Sep	@ Venezia	2–0	W
12 Sep	vs AC Milan	2–2	D
7 Sep	@ Udinese	2–1	W
30 Aug	vs Genoa	1–0	W

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+15	28
3	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	+21	27
4	AC Milan	11	7	3	1	+10	24
5	Como	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	+9	20
7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	-5	16
10	Napoli	11	4	3	4	+4	15
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	-2	14
12	Atalanta	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Genoa	11	4	1	6	-5	13
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	-8	9
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-13	8
18	Monza	11	2	1	8	-8	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	-13	5

Team

Pts

+16

+15

+21

+10

-5

-2

-3

-5

-10

-8

-8

-13

-8

-13

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventus vs Lazio?

Our pick is Juventus to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Juventus vs Lazio?

On our numbers Juventus have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lazio 13%.

How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Lazio?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Lazio?

Our predicted score is Juventus 1–0 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Juventus vs Lazio?

Juventus vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Juventus v Lazio: numbers & prediction