AS Roma 68%Draw 18%Cagliari 14%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.65
68%
Betarazi pick
AS Roma to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultAS Roma to win ✓68% · @1.35
Double chanceAS Roma or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.59
AS Roma vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the Serie A brings AS Roma against Cagliari at Stadio Olimpico. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, AS Roma are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
AS Roma, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Napoli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cagliari, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bologna, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Roma 1.8 xG, Cagliari 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Roma 68%, draw 18%, Cagliari 14%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AS Roma to win (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Roma 1–0 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Roma68%fair 1.47 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.60
Cagliari14%fair 7.01 · @8.50
2.50Expected goals
1.85AS Roma xG
0.65Cagliari xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: AS Roma 1.8 – 0.7 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Double chance
AS Roma or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
AS Roma (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
AS Roma -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
AS Roma to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.59
–
Recent results
AS Roma – last 6
DWWLDD
24 Oct
@ Napoli
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs Slovan Bratislava
4–0
W
17 Oct
vs Genoa
2–0
W
14 Oct
vs Real Madrid
3–4
L
11 Oct
@ Como
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Inter
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
LLDWWW
24 Oct
vs Bologna
0–2
L
19 Oct
@ Monza
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Juventus
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Udinese
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Atalanta
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Lecce
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Roma and Cagliari.
Our pick is AS Roma to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
On our numbers AS Roma have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cagliari 14%.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is AS Roma 1–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AS Roma vs Cagliari?
AS Roma vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
