Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Lazio to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Sassuolo vs Lazio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Sassuolo v Lazio in the Serie A, played at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore. In the table, Sassuolo are 17th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Lazio are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sassuolo, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Como, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Lazio, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Parma, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Sassuolo.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sassuolo 1.3 xG, Lazio 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sassuolo 28%, draw 22%, Lazio 50%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Lazio to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sassuolo 1–1 Lazio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sassuolo28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Lazio50%fair 2.00 · @2.15
3.06Expected goals
1.27Sassuolo xG
1.79Lazio xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 1.3 – 1.8 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Lazio?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lazio 50%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Lazio?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Lazio?
Sassuolo vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
