Atalanta vs Parma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parma travel to face Atalanta on Monday 2 November in the Serie A, with New Balance Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Atalanta are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Parma are 16th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Atalanta, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fiorentina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Parma, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Udinese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atalanta, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Parma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atalanta 2.2 xG, Parma 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atalanta 70%, draw 18%, Parma 12%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atalanta to win (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atalanta 2–0 Parma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atalanta70%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @4.20
Parma12%fair 8.11 · @6.00
2.94Expected goals
2.17Atalanta xG
0.77Parma xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atalanta 2.2 – 0.8 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✗
70%
1.44
1.44
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.75
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)✗
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Atalanta -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Atalanta to score first✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Atalanta – last 6
DDLLWW
29 Oct
@ Fiorentina
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Frosinone
4–4
D
22 Oct
@ Ajax
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ AC Milan
2–3
L
15 Oct
vs Pafos
3–1
W
12 Oct
vs Venezia
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Parma – last 6
DLLLWL
28 Oct
vs Udinese
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lazio
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Torino
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Genoa
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ Como
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Parma.
Our pick is Atalanta to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Atalanta vs Parma?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Parma 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Parma?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 2–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Parma?
Atalanta vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
