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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sassuolo v Fiorentina: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Italy
2–4
FT
Sassuolo 35%Draw 21%Fiorentina 43% Expected goals 1.79 – 1.99
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultFiorentina to win ✓43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sassuolo welcome Fiorentina for a Serie A fixture on Monday 2 November (18:30 WAT). In the table, Sassuolo are 17th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Fiorentina are 15th (lower half) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sassuolo, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–6 defeat to Lazio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Fiorentina, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atalanta, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sassuolo 1.8 xG, Fiorentina 2.0 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sassuolo 35%, draw 21%, Fiorentina 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sassuolo 1–1 Fiorentina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sassuolo35%fair 2.83 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Fiorentina43%fair 2.31 · @2.30
3.78Expected goals
1.79Sassuolo xG
1.99Fiorentina xG
65%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Sassuolo 1.8 – 2.0 Fiorentina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFiorentina to win ✓43%2.312.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.531.50
Draw no betFiorentina (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapSassuolo +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
First team to scoreFiorentina to score first51%1.94–
Half-time resultFiorentina ahead at half-time ✗35%2.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.36–

Recent results

Sassuolo – last 6

LLLDLW
27 Octvs Lazio2–6L
24 Oct@ Como0–2L
16 Oct@ Frosinone2–4L
11 Octvs AC Milan1–1D
18 Sep@ Monza1–2L
13 Sepvs Juventus3–2W
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fiorentina – last 6

DLLLDW
29 Octvs Atalanta2–2D
25 Oct@ Inter1–2L
18 Octvs Como1–3L
10 Oct@ Genoa1–2L
20 Sepvs Napoli1–1D
15 Sepvs Pisa3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Fiorentina v Sassuolo0–0
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lazio11920+1629
2Inter11911+1528
3AS Roma11830+2127
4AC Milan11731+1024
5Como11722+823
6Frosinone11623+920
7Juventus11533+318
8Bologna11524+217
9Cagliari11515-516
10Napoli11434+415
11Torino11425-214
12Atalanta11425-314
13Genoa11416-513
14Lecce11317-1010
15Fiorentina11236-89
16Parma11227-88
17Sassuolo11227-138
18Monza11218-87
19Venezia11209-136
20Udinese11128-135

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

On our numbers Sassuolo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fiorentina 43%.

How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

Our predicted score is Sassuolo 1–1 Fiorentina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.