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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ayr Utd v Dumbarton: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Ayr Utd

WLLLL
3–0
FT

Dumbarton

LWDL
Ayr Utd 70%Draw 18%Dumbarton 11% Expected goals 2.62 – 1.10
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultAyr Utd to win ✓70% · @1.20
Double chanceAyr Utd or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dumbarton travel to face Ayr Utd on Tuesday 30 June in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.

Current form

Ayr Utd, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Glenafton Athletic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Dumbarton, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Linlithgow Rose, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ayr Utd 2.6 xG, Dumbarton 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ayr Utd 70%, draw 18%, Dumbarton 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayr Utd 2–1 Dumbarton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ayr Utd70%fair 1.42 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @5.50
Dumbarton11%fair 9.06 · @10.00
3.72Expected goals
2.62Ayr Utd xG
1.10Dumbarton xG
54%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Ayr Utd 2.6 – 1.1 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ayr UtdDumbarton
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+12%-1%
Goals conceded vs average-18%+16%
Our expected goals here2.141.00

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAyr Utd to win ✓70%1.421.20
Double chanceAyr Utd or draw ✓89%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.84–
Draw no betAyr Utd (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapAyr Utd -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
First team to scoreAyr Utd to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultAyr Utd ahead at half-time ✓52%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ayr Utd / FT Ayr Utd ✓47%2.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

Ayr Utd – last 6

WLLLLD
27 Junvs Glenafton Athletic3–0W
1 Mayvs ST Johnstone0–1L
7 Aprvs Dunfermline0–3L
27 Mar@ Raith Rovers0–3L
10 Marvs Queen's Park1–2L
3 Mar@ Arbroath1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dumbarton – last 4

LWDL
20 Jun@ Linlithgow Rose3–4L
10 Marvs Stranraer2–0W
24 Febvs Clyde0–0D
21 Feb@ East Kilbride1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and Dumbarton.

Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT FC Sochi4 Ska-khabarovsk2 158%1.43X22%4.45220%6.75 2.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.36 ✗
FT Waalwijk2 Rot-weiss Oberhausen1 152%1.75X24%3.50224%4.10 2.1–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✓
FT Nyiregyhaza0 Zbrojovka Brno3 130%2.40X22%3.60248%2.40 1.3–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Levski Sofia5 Radnik Surdulica0 166%1.48X21%4.20213%5.25 2.0–0.7xG 1Levski Sofia to win 66%@1.48 ✓
FT Sturm Graz2 LNZ Cherkasy6 159%1.27X19%5.50222%7.00 1.8–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.44 ✓
FT Brinje-Grosuplje0 HNK Rijeka3 116%6.50X21%4.33263%1.36 0.9–2.0xG 2HNK Rijeka to win 63%@1.36 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic0 Livingston3 118%5.00X24%4.00258%1.50 1.0–1.9xG 2Livingston to win 58%@1.50 ✓
FT Raith Rovers4 Edinburgh City0 174%1.17X18%6.0029%11.00 2.7–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton?

On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dumbarton 11%.

How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton?

Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 2–1 Dumbarton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton?

Ayr Utd vs Dumbarton (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.