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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sturm Graz v LNZ Cherkasy: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Sturm Graz

WWDDW
2–6
FT

LNZ Cherkasy

LWLWD
Sturm Graz 59%Draw 19%LNZ Cherkasy 22% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.33
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSturm Graz to win ✗59% · @1.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 30 June the Friendlies Clubs brings Sturm Graz against LNZ Cherkasy. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Sturm Graz, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Mura, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

LNZ Cherkasy, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to HNK Hajduk Split, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sturm Graz, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for LNZ Cherkasy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sturm Graz 1.8 xG, LNZ Cherkasy 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sturm Graz 59%, draw 19%, LNZ Cherkasy 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sturm Graz 2–1 LNZ Cherkasy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sturm Graz59%fair 1.69 · @1.27
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @5.50
LNZ Cherkasy22%fair 4.48 · @7.00
3.17Expected goals
1.84Sturm Graz xG
1.33LNZ Cherkasy xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Sturm Graz 1.8 – 1.3 LNZ Cherkasy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sturm GrazLNZ Cherkasy
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+36%+11%
Goals conceded vs average-3%-28%
Our expected goals here1.701.75

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSturm Graz to win ✗59%1.691.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.93–
Draw no betSturm Graz (draw no bet) ✗73%1.38–
Asian handicapLNZ Cherkasy +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
First team to scoreSturm Graz to score first56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz ✗30%3.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

Sturm Graz – last 6

WWDDWD
26 Junvs Mura5–0W
17 Mayvs Rapid Vienna2–0W
22 Aprvs Lask Linz1–1D
19 Apr@ Lask Linz1–1D
5 Apr@ Rapid Vienna2–0W
20 Marvs Red Bull Salzburg1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

LNZ Cherkasy – last 6

LWLWDL
27 Junvs HNK Hajduk Split0–1L
24 May@ Obolon'-Brovar1–0W
18 May@ Kudrivka0–1L
13 Mayvs SK Poltava2–0W
26 Aprvs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1–1D
18 Apr@ Kolos Kovalivka0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz and LNZ Cherkasy.

Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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FT FC Sochi4 Ska-khabarovsk2 158%1.43X22%4.45220%6.75 2.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.36 ✗
FT Waalwijk2 Rot-weiss Oberhausen1 152%1.75X24%3.50224%4.10 2.1–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✓
FT Nyiregyhaza0 Zbrojovka Brno3 130%2.40X22%3.60248%2.40 1.3–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Levski Sofia5 Radnik Surdulica0 166%1.48X21%4.20213%5.25 2.0–0.7xG 1Levski Sofia to win 66%@1.48 ✓
FT Brinje-Grosuplje0 HNK Rijeka3 116%6.50X21%4.33263%1.36 0.9–2.0xG 2HNK Rijeka to win 63%@1.36 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic0 Livingston3 118%5.00X24%4.00258%1.50 1.0–1.9xG 2Livingston to win 58%@1.50 ✓
FT Ayr Utd3 Dumbarton0 170%1.20X18%5.50211%10.00 2.6–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.50 ✓
FT Raith Rovers4 Edinburgh City0 174%1.17X18%6.0029%11.00 2.7–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?

On our numbers Sturm Graz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and LNZ Cherkasy 22%.

How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 2–1 LNZ Cherkasy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.