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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Cincinnati v Burnley: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

FC Cincinnati

WDLDW
3–1
FT

Burnley

DLDLL
FC Cincinnati 34%Draw 22%Burnley 44% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.60
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1

Value bet: FC Cincinnati to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBurnley to win ✗44% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.23

FC Cincinnati vs Burnley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 July the Friendlies Clubs brings FC Cincinnati against Burnley. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.

Current form

FC Cincinnati, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Orlando City SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Burnley, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wolves, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Cincinnati, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Burnley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Cincinnati 1.7 xG, Burnley 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cincinnati 34%, draw 22%, Burnley 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: FC Cincinnati to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cincinnati 1–1 Burnley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Cincinnati34%fair 2.93 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.85
Burnley44%fair 2.27 · @1.92
3.25Expected goals
1.65FC Cincinnati xG
1.60Burnley xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 1.7 – 1.6 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FC CincinnatiBurnley
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+3%-15%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+11%
Our expected goals here2.231.65

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBurnley to win ✗44%2.271.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.48
Draw no betBurnley (draw no bet) ✗56%1.78–
Asian handicapBurnley +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
First team to scoreFC Cincinnati to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati ✗24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.23–

Recent results

FC Cincinnati – last 6

WDLDWW
24 Mayvs Orlando City SC6–2W
17 May@ San Diego3–3D
14 Mayvs Inter Miami3–5L
10 May@ Charlotte2–2D
3 May@ Chicago Fire3–2W
26 Aprvs New York Red Bulls2–0W
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Burnley – last 6

DLDLLL
24 Mayvs Wolves1–1D
18 May@ Arsenal0–1L
10 Mayvs Aston Villa2–2D
1 May@ Leeds1–3L
22 Aprvs Manchester City0–1L
19 Apr@ Nottingham Forest1–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and Burnley.

FC Cincinnati vs Burnley head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Lokomotiv3 Akron0 160%1.43X22%4.80218%6.05 1.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.69 ✓
FT F91 Dudelange4 Excelsior Virton0 142%2.10X31%4.00227%2.50 1.8–1.3xG 1XF91 Dudelange or draw 73%@1.44 ✓
FT Oţelul3 FC Bacau1 157%1.17X20%5.50223%17.00 1.7–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.55 ✗
FT Humenné0 FK Košice1 124%5.80X21%4.40255%1.44 1.6–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.62 ✗
FT Podbrezová0 Petržalka3 154%1.44X23%4.00224%5.50 2.1–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Wisla Plock2 Baník Ostrava2 158%1.55X24%3.60218%5.50 1.8–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
FT Vlašim4 Králův Dvůr0 157%1.40X23%4.20220%6.50 2.5–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.60 ✗
FT Arsenal Česká Lípa2 Písek2 162%1.33X20%4.60218%6.40 2.8–1.7xG 1Arsenal Česká Lípa to win 62%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?

On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burnley 44%.

How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?

Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is FC Cincinnati vs Burnley?

FC Cincinnati vs Burnley (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.