Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 57% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOţelul to win ✓57% · @1.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Oţelul vs FC Bacau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Bacau travel to face Oţelul on Saturday 11 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT.
Current form
Oţelul, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Farul Constanta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Bacau, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Metalul Buzău, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oţelul 1.7 xG, FC Bacau 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oţelul 57%, draw 20%, FC Bacau 23%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oţelul 1–1 FC Bacau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oţelul57%fair 1.75 · @1.17
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @5.50
FC Bacau23%fair 4.31 · @17.00
3.00Expected goals
1.65Oţelul xG
1.35FC Bacau xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Oţelul 1.7 – 1.3 FC Bacau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Oţelul
FC Bacau
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-0%
+34%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.66
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oţelul to win✓
57%
1.75
1.17
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Oţelul (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
FC Bacau +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Oţelul to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oţelul / FT Oţelul✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Oţelul – last 6
DWDWWL
3 Jul
@ Farul Constanta
0–0
D
18 May
@ Petrolul Ploiesti
5–1
W
2 May
vs Metaloglobus
2–2
D
17 Apr
vs Uta Arad
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs AFC Hermannstadt
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Unirea Slobozia
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Bacau – last 6
WLWLWL
3 Jul
@ Metalul Buzău
7–2
W
9 May
@ Viitorul Şelimbăr
1–4
L
2 May
vs Dumbrăviţa
1–0
W
25 Apr
@ Concordia
0–2
L
18 Apr
vs CS Afumati
3–1
W
10 Apr
vs CSM Satu Mare
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oţelul and FC Bacau.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Oţelul vs FC Bacau?
On our numbers Oţelul have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Bacau 23%.
How many goals will there be in Oţelul vs FC Bacau?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oţelul vs FC Bacau?
Our predicted score is Oţelul 1–1 FC Bacau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Oţelul vs FC Bacau?
Oţelul vs FC Bacau (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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