Liverpool 58%Draw 23%Como 19%Expected goals 2.33 – 1.34
81%
Betarazi pick
Liverpool or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceLiverpool or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Liverpool vs Como: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Liverpool against Como. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Liverpool, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Monaco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Como, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arsenal, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Como, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Liverpool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool 2.3 xG, Como 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool 58%, draw 23%, Como 19%.
Lower-risk option: Liverpool or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Liverpool or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool 2–1 Como. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool58%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.95
Como19%fair 5.24 · @4.10
3.68Expected goals
2.33Liverpool xG
1.34Como xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Liverpool 2.3 – 1.3 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✗
58%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Liverpool or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.42
Draw no bet
Liverpool (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Como +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
First team to score
Liverpool to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Liverpool ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Liverpool – last 6
LLWWDD
9 Aug
vs Monaco
2–3
L
2 Aug
vs Leeds
2–4
L
30 Jul
vs Wrexham
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Sunderland
4–2
W
24 May
vs Brentford
1–1
D
9 May
vs Chelsea
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Como – last 6
DWWWWW
12 Aug
@ Arsenal
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Famalicao
3–2
W
24 May
@ Cremonese
4–1
W
17 May
vs Parma
1–0
W
10 May
@ Hellas Verona
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Genoa
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool and Como.
Our pick is Liverpool or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liverpool vs Como?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Como 19%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Como?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Como?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 2–1 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Como?
Liverpool vs Como (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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