Newcastle vs Strasbourg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Strasbourg travel to face Newcastle on Sunday 16 August in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Newcastle, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Strasbourg, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to SC Freiburg, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 4.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newcastle, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Strasbourg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle 2.7 xG, Strasbourg 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle 69%, draw 19%, Strasbourg 11%.
Lower-risk option: Newcastle or draw (89%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newcastle to win (69%, odds 1.51 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle 2–1 Strasbourg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle69%fair 1.45 · @1.51
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.40
Strasbourg11%fair 8.71 · @5.50
3.78Expected goals
2.68Newcastle xG
1.10Strasbourg xG
63%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Newcastle 2.7 – 1.1 Strasbourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win✗
69%
1.45
1.51
Double chance
Newcastle or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Draw no bet
Newcastle (draw no bet)
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle -1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
First team to score
Newcastle to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Newcastle ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Newcastle – last 6
LLWLDW
15 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
12 Aug
vs Everton
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Valencia
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Bristol City
1–4
L
25 Jul
@ Gateshead
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Darlington 1883
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Strasbourg – last 6
LLLLLW
8 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
2–5
L
1 Aug
@ Brighton
3–4
L
25 Jul
vs Blackburn
0–2
L
20 Jul
@ Sporting CP
0–7
L
17 May
vs Monaco
5–4
W
1.7Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Strasbourg.
What is the prediction for Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
Our pick is Newcastle to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Strasbourg 11%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 2–1 Strasbourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Strasbourg?
Newcastle vs Strasbourg (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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