Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtenas to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Atenas vs La Luz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Luz travel to face Atenas on Sunday 14 June in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Atenas are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 25 matches; La Luz are 9th (lower half) with 34.
Current form
Atenas, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cerrito, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
La Luz, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Paysandu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.2 xG, La Luz 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 41%, draw 29%, La Luz 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 1–1 La Luz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atenas41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.90
La Luz31%fair 3.26 · @2.80
2.13Expected goals
1.23Atenas xG
0.91La Luz xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.2 – 0.9 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atenas
La Luz
Attack vs Segunda División average
+3%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.29
0.80
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✓
41%
2.46
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.65
Draw no bet
Atenas (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
La Luz +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Atenas to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.89
–
Recent results
Atenas – last 6
LWLWLW
7 Jun
@ Cerrito
1–2
L
31 May
@ CA River Plate
2–0
W
17 May
@ Sportivo Huracan
0–1
L
9 May
vs Uruguay Montevideo
2–1
W
27 Apr
vs Fenix
1–4
L
18 Apr
vs Tacuarembo
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
La Luz – last 6
LDWDDD
6 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
31 May
@ Sportivo Huracan
1–1
D
24 May
vs Uruguay Montevideo
2–0
W
18 May
@ Oriental
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Cerrito
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and La Luz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Atenas vs La Luz?
On our numbers Atenas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and La Luz 31%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs La Luz?
Atenas vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
