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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paysandu v Plaza Colonia: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT
Paysandu 28%Draw 27%Plaza Colonia 46% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.18
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✓46% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.74

Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Paysandu welcome Plaza Colonia for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 14 June (22:00 WAT). In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Plaza Colonia are 4th (among the top four) with 38. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Paysandu, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over La Luz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Plaza Colonia, last 4: DLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportivo Huracan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Plaza Colonia 1–1 Paysandu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.1 xG, Plaza Colonia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 28%, draw 27%, Plaza Colonia 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Plaza Colonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paysandu28%fair 3.58 · @4.20
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Plaza Colonia46%fair 2.20 · @1.85
2.25Expected goals
1.07Paysandu xG
1.18Plaza Colonia xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Paysandu 1.1 – 1.2 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

PaysanduPlaza Colonia
Attack vs Segunda División average+11%+7%
Goals conceded vs average-2%-7%
Our expected goals here1.361.07

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlaza Colonia to win ✓46%2.201.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.832.00 ▲
Draw no betPlaza Colonia (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapPaysandu +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scorePlaza Colonia to score first47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia ✗22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.74–

Recent results

Paysandu – last 6

WLDLWL
6 Jun@ La Luz2–1W
30 Mayvs Cerrito0–1L
17 Apr@ Plaza Colonia1–1D
10 Aprvs Rentistas0–1L
27 Marvs Miramar2–0W
13 Marvs Colón0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Plaza Colonia – last 4

DLWD
5 Junvs Sportivo Huracan0–0D
30 May@ Uruguay Montevideo0–2L
22 Mayvs Oriental3–1W
17 Aprvs Paysandu1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Plaza Colonia v Paysandu1–1
Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?

On our numbers Paysandu have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Plaza Colonia 46%.

How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?

Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?

Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.