Paysandu 28%Draw 27%Plaza Colonia 46%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.18
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✓46% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.74
Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu welcome Plaza Colonia for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 14 June (22:00 WAT). In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Plaza Colonia are 4th (among the top four) with 38. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Paysandu, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over La Luz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Plaza Colonia, last 4: DLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportivo Huracan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Plaza Colonia 1–1 Paysandu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.1 xG, Plaza Colonia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 28%, draw 27%, Plaza Colonia 46%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Plaza Colonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu28%fair 3.58 · @4.20
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Plaza Colonia46%fair 2.20 · @1.85
2.25Expected goals
1.07Paysandu xG
1.18Plaza Colonia xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.1 – 1.2 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
Attack vs Segunda División average
+11%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.36
1.07
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Plaza Colonia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia?
Paysandu vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.