Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.15
Cruz Azul vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Wednesday 22 July: Cruz Azul v Puebla in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Banorte. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atletico San Luis, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Puebla, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Juarez, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Puebla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 2.2 xG, Puebla 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 66%, draw 19%, Puebla 15%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cruz Azul to win (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 2–0 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul66%fair 1.51 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @5.00
Puebla15%fair 6.73 · @7.40
3.21Expected goals
2.22Cruz Azul xG
1.00Puebla xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.2 – 1.0 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul
Puebla
Attack vs Liga MX average
+40%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.31
1.10
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.77
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul – last 6
WDWDWD
18 Jul
@ Atletico San Luis
3–2
W
5 Jul
@ Monarcas
3–3
D
25 May
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–1
W
22 May
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–0
D
17 May
@ Guadalajara Chivas
2–1
W
14 May
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Puebla – last 6
WWLWLL
18 Jul
@ FC Juarez
1–0
W
10 Jul
@ Atlas
4–3
W
4 Jul
@ CF Pachuca
1–3
L
1 Jul
vs Tlaxcala
3–1
W
25 Apr
vs Club Queretaro
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Monterrey
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Puebla.
Our pick is Cruz Azul to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Puebla 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
Cruz Azul vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
