Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas travel to face Puebla on Saturday 1 August in the Liga MX, with Estadio Cuauhtemoc the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Puebla are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Puebla, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cruz Azul, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Juarez, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Puebla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puebla 0.8 xG, Guadalajara Chivas 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puebla 18%, draw 23%, Guadalajara Chivas 58%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara Chivas or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puebla 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puebla18%fair 5.51 · @5.25
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @4.30
Guadalajara Chivas58%fair 1.71 · @1.54
2.45Expected goals
0.85Puebla xG
1.60Guadalajara Chivas xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Puebla 0.8 – 1.6 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack vs Liga MX average
-19%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-25%
Our expected goals here
0.97
1.56
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Puebla have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guadalajara Chivas 58%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Puebla 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
