Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico San Luis to win ✗38% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico San Luis welcome Club Tijuana to Alfonso Lastras Ramirez for a Liga MX fixture on Saturday 1 August (04:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico San Luis are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Club Tijuana are 9th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atletico San Luis, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tigres UANL, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Club Tijuana, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Leon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Club Tijuana, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Atletico San Luis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico San Luis 1.4 xG, Club Tijuana 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico San Luis 38%, draw 26%, Club Tijuana 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Club Tijuana to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club Tijuana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico San Luis38%fair 2.63 · @2.12
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
Club Tijuana36%fair 2.77 · @3.30
2.87Expected goals
1.41Atletico San Luis xG
1.46Club Tijuana xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.4 – 1.5 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico San Luis
Club Tijuana
Attack vs Liga MX average
-18%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.34
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico San Luis to win✗
38%
2.63
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
Atletico San Luis (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Atletico San Luis +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Club Tijuana to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Tijuana / FT Club Tijuana✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
Atletico San Luis – last 6
DLWWWL
26 Jul
@ Tigres UANL
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Cruz Azul
2–3
L
10 Jul
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–0
W
7 Jul
vs Sporting San Jose
4–0
W
1 Jul
@ Atlas
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ FC Juarez
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Club Tijuana – last 6
WWWDWD
25 Jul
vs Leon
1–0
W
17 Jul
vs Tigres UANL
3–1
W
4 Jul
@ San Jose Earthquakes
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Pachuca
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Club Tijuana.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Club Tijuana 36%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana?
Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
