Atlante FC 14%Draw 21%Toluca 65%Expected goals 0.96 – 2.21
65%
Betarazi pick
Toluca to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca to win ✗65% · @1.44
Double chanceToluca or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Atlante FC vs Toluca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Liga MX brings Atlante FC against Toluca at Estadio Banorte. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Atlante FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Toluca are 4th (among the top four) with 27. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlante FC, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Minnesota United FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Toluca, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Dallas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Atlante FC 3–3 Toluca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlante FC 1.0 xG, Toluca 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlante FC 14%, draw 21%, Toluca 65%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toluca to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlante FC 0–2 Toluca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlante FC14%fair 6.96 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.90
Toluca65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
3.17Expected goals
0.96Atlante FC xG
2.21Toluca xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Atlante FC 1.0 – 2.2 Toluca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Toluca to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Atlante FC vs Toluca?
On our numbers Atlante FC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Toluca 65%.
How many goals will there be in Atlante FC vs Toluca?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlante FC vs Toluca?
Our predicted score is Atlante FC 0–2 Toluca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlante FC vs Toluca?
Atlante FC vs Toluca (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
