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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monterrey v FC Juarez: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio BBVA
6–1
FT
Monterrey 62%Draw 23%FC Juarez 14% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.96
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonterrey to win ✓62% · @1.52
Double chanceMonterrey or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Monterrey vs FC Juarez: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:10 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Monterrey v FC Juarez in the Liga MX, played at Estadio BBVA. In the table, Monterrey are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; FC Juarez are 18th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Current form

Monterrey, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nashville SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FC Juarez, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Salt Lake, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Monterrey, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for FC Juarez.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended FC Juarez 2–2 Monterrey.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey 2.1 xG, FC Juarez 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey 62%, draw 23%, FC Juarez 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Monterrey or draw (86%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey 2–0 FC Juarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monterrey62%fair 1.60 · @1.52
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @4.40
FC Juarez14%fair 6.95 · @5.40
3.07Expected goals
2.11Monterrey xG
0.96FC Juarez xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Monterrey 2.1 – 1.0 FC Juarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonterrey to win ✓62%1.601.52
Double chanceMonterrey or draw ✓86%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.62
Draw no betMonterrey (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapMonterrey -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.271.22
First team to scoreMonterrey to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultMonterrey ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monterrey / FT Monterrey ✓41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Monterrey – last 6

WWLWLW
13 Augvs Nashville SC2–1W
9 Aug@ Inter Miami2–1W
6 Augvs Orlando City SC1–2L
2 Aug@ Atlas2–0W
27 Jul@ Necaxa1–2L
19 Julvs Santos Laguna3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Juarez – last 6

LWWLLL
12 Aug@ Real Salt Lake0–3L
8 Aug@ Vancouver Whitecaps3–1W
5 Aug@ Minnesota United FC2–1W
1 Augvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–5L
26 Jul@ Guadalajara Chivas0–1L
18 Julvs Puebla0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026FC Juarez v Monterrey2–2
Monterrey vs FC Juarez head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monterrey vs FC Juarez?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Monterrey vs FC Juarez?

On our numbers Monterrey have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Juarez 14%.

How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs FC Juarez?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs FC Juarez?

Our predicted score is Monterrey 2–0 FC Juarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Monterrey vs FC Juarez?

Monterrey vs FC Juarez (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.