Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.52Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✓67% · @1.52
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santos Laguna welcome Guadalajara Chivas to Estadio TSM Corona for a Liga MX fixture on Monday 17 August (02:10 WAT). In the table, Santos Laguna are 6th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Santos Laguna, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Philadelphia Union, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Seattle Sounders, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Santos Laguna.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Guadalajara Chivas 3–0 Santos Laguna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos Laguna 0.7 xG, Guadalajara Chivas 2.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos Laguna 11%, draw 22%, Guadalajara Chivas 67%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara Chivas or draw (89%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guadalajara Chivas to win (67%, odds 1.52 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos Laguna 0–2 Guadalajara Chivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos Laguna11%fair 9.02 · @5.40
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.40
Guadalajara Chivas67%fair 1.49 · @1.52
2.74Expected goals
0.71Santos Laguna xG
2.03Guadalajara Chivas xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–113%
1–29%
1–19%
0–39%
0–06%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna 0.7 – 2.0 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guadalajara Chivas 67%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 0–2 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
