Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗40% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul travel to face Club Tijuana on Monday 17 August in the Liga MX, with Estadio Caliente the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT. In the table, Club Tijuana are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
Club Tijuana, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Portland Timbers, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cruz Azul, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chicago Fire, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Club Tijuana.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Cruz Azul 1–1 Club Tijuana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Tijuana 1.4 xG, Cruz Azul 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Tijuana 39%, draw 22%, Cruz Azul 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Club Tijuana to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Tijuana 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Tijuana39%fair 2.58 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Cruz Azul40%fair 2.53 · @2.32
2.87Expected goals
1.42Club Tijuana xG
1.44Cruz Azul xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 1.4 – 1.4 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cruz Azul 40%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
