On Tuesday 18 August the Liga MX brings Necaxa against Leon at Estadio Victoria. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Necaxa, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over New York City FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Leon, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Inter Miami, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leon, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Necaxa.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Leon 0–0 Necaxa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Necaxa 0 wins, Leon 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa 1.4 xG, Leon 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa 41%, draw 21%, Leon 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa 1–1 Leon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa41%fair 2.45 · @2.54
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.55
Leon38%fair 2.63 · @2.54
2.81Expected goals
1.43Necaxa xG
1.37Leon xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Necaxa 1.4 – 1.4 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Necaxa vs Leon?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leon 38%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Leon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs Leon?
Necaxa vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
