CF Pachuca vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:06 WAT, Tuesday 18 August: CF Pachuca v Puebla in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. In the table, CF Pachuca are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
CF Pachuca, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Charlotte, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Puebla, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to San Diego, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended CF Pachuca 3–1 Puebla. The last 2 head-to-heads: CF Pachuca 2 wins, Puebla 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Pachuca 1.9 xG, Puebla 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Pachuca 68%, draw 21%, Puebla 11%.
Lower-risk option: CF Pachuca or draw (89%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Pachuca 2–0 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Pachuca68%fair 1.47 · @1.54
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.20
Puebla11%fair 9.03 · @5.40
2.57Expected goals
1.94CF Pachuca xG
0.64Puebla xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: CF Pachuca 1.9 – 0.6 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs Puebla?
On our numbers CF Pachuca have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Puebla 11%.
How many goals will there be in CF Pachuca vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Pachuca vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is CF Pachuca 2–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CF Pachuca vs Puebla?
CF Pachuca vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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