Club Queretaro 21%Draw 20%Toluca 58%Expected goals 0.92 – 1.75
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca to win ✓58% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.24
Club Queretaro vs Toluca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Toluca travel to face Club Queretaro on Saturday 22 August in the Liga MX, with Estadio La Corregidora the venue – the ball rolls at 04:10 WAT. In the table, Club Queretaro are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Toluca are 4th (among the top four) with 27.
Current form
Club Queretaro, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with U.N.A.M. - Pumas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Toluca, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atlante FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Club Queretaro 1–0 Toluca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Queretaro 0.9 xG, Toluca 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Queretaro 21%, draw 20%, Toluca 58%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Queretaro 0–1 Toluca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Queretaro21%fair 4.71 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.85
Toluca58%fair 1.71 · @1.81
2.68Expected goals
0.92Club Queretaro xG
1.75Toluca xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Club Queretaro 0.9 – 1.8 Toluca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Queretaro vs Toluca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Club Queretaro vs Toluca?
On our numbers Club Queretaro have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toluca 58%.
How many goals will there be in Club Queretaro vs Toluca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Queretaro vs Toluca?
Our predicted score is Club Queretaro 0–1 Toluca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Club Queretaro vs Toluca?
Club Queretaro vs Toluca (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Corregidora.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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