Leon 31%Draw 21%Monterrey 49%Expected goals 1.39 – 1.81
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMonterrey to win ✗49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Leon vs Monterrey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Leon v Monterrey in the Liga MX.
Current form
Leon, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Necaxa, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Monterrey, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over FC Juarez, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Leon, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Monterrey.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Monterrey 1–0 Leon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.4 xG, Monterrey 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 31%, draw 21%, Monterrey 49%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–1 Monterrey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon31%fair 3.26 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Monterrey49%fair 2.06 · @2.10
3.20Expected goals
1.39Leon xG
1.81Monterrey xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Leon 1.4 – 1.8 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leon vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Leon have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monterrey 49%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Monterrey?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Monterrey?
Leon vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
