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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlas v Club Queretaro: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Jalisco

Atlas

WWWLL
1–3
FT
Atlas 43%Draw 22%Club Queretaro 34% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.20
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Club Queretaro to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAtlas to win ✗43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Atlas vs Club Queretaro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 30 August the Liga MX brings Atlas against Club Queretaro at Estadio Jalisco. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Atlas are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Club Queretaro are 12th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Atlas, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cruz Azul, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Club Queretaro, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Toluca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Atlas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Club Queretaro.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Atlas 0–0 Club Queretaro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlas 1.4 xG, Club Queretaro 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas 43%, draw 22%, Club Queretaro 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Club Queretaro to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas 1–1 Club Queretaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlas43%fair 2.30 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
Club Queretaro34%fair 2.93 · @3.30
2.60Expected goals
1.40Atlas xG
1.20Club Queretaro xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–27%
0–07%

From our goals model: Atlas 1.4 – 1.2 Club Queretaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlas to win ✗43%2.302.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.70
Draw no betAtlas (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapClub Queretaro +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.381.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreAtlas to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlas / FT Atlas ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Atlas – last 6

WWWLLL
23 Aug@ Cruz Azul2–0W
16 Augvs Tigres UANL2–1W
12 Aug@ FC Cincinnati2–1W
8 Aug@ Charlotte0–2L
5 Aug@ Columbus Crew1–3L
2 Augvs Monterrey0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Club Queretaro – last 6

LDDLLW
22 Augvs Toluca1–2L
16 Aug@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas0–0D
13 Aug@ Los Angeles FC1–1D
9 Aug@ Seattle Sounders0–3L
6 Aug@ FC Dallas0–2L
2 Augvs Tigres UANL3–2W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Atlas v Club Queretaro0–0
Atlas vs Club Queretaro head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlas vs Club Queretaro?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Atlas vs Club Queretaro?

On our numbers Atlas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Queretaro 34%.

How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Club Queretaro?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Club Queretaro?

Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 Club Queretaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Atlas vs Club Queretaro?

Atlas vs Club Queretaro (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.