Value bet: Guadalajara Chivas to win @ 2.18 – our chance 50% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✗50% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64
CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: CF Pachuca v Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. In the table, CF Pachuca are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
CF Pachuca, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico San Luis, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Club Tijuana, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for CF Pachuca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Pachuca 1.1 xG, Guadalajara Chivas 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Pachuca 29%, draw 21%, Guadalajara Chivas 50%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Guadalajara Chivas to win @2.18 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Pachuca 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Pachuca29%fair 3.42 · @3.05
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.55
Guadalajara Chivas50%fair 2.02 · @2.18
2.74Expected goals
1.15CF Pachuca xG
1.59Guadalajara Chivas xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: CF Pachuca 1.1 – 1.6 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✗
50%
2.02
2.18 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
CF Pachuca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
CF Pachuca – last 6
DLWLLL
24 Aug
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Puebla
2–3
L
12 Aug
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ Leon
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guadalajara Chivas – last 6
WWWLDD
23 Aug
vs Club Tijuana
5–2
W
17 Aug
@ Santos Laguna
1–0
W
13 Aug
@ Seattle Sounders
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs FC Dallas
0–1
L
6 Aug
@ Los Angeles FC
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Puebla
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Pachuca and Guadalajara Chivas.
What is the prediction for CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers CF Pachuca have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guadalajara Chivas 50%.
How many goals will there be in CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is CF Pachuca 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
