Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca to win ✓67% · @1.28
Double chanceToluca or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Toluca vs FC Juarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Juarez travel to face Toluca on Monday 31 August in the Liga MX – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Toluca are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 16 matches; FC Juarez are 18th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Toluca, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Austin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Juarez, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Club America, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Toluca, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for FC Juarez.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Toluca 3–1 FC Juarez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca 2.3 xG, FC Juarez 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca 67%, draw 19%, FC Juarez 14%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toluca to win (67%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca 2–0 FC Juarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca67%fair 1.49 · @1.28
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @5.90
FC Juarez14%fair 7.27 · @8.50
3.27Expected goals
2.30Toluca xG
0.96FC Juarez xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Toluca 2.3 – 1.0 FC Juarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Toluca to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Toluca vs FC Juarez?
On our numbers Toluca have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Juarez 14%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca vs FC Juarez?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca vs FC Juarez?
Our predicted score is Toluca 2–0 FC Juarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Toluca vs FC Juarez?
Toluca vs FC Juarez (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
